Is great power conflict returning? - ANSWER Maybe we are witnessing a period of peaceful relations between states, but eventually the great power conflict will come back
Four changes in international affairs that will
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Is great power conflict returning? - ANSWER Maybe we are witnessing a period of peaceful relations between states, but eventually the great power conflict will come back
Four changes in international affairs that will lead to renewed great power conflict - ANSWER #1: Slow disengagement of US from its dominating role after WWII
#2: Challenges from current great powers (Russia, China, India, and Japan)
#3: Ominous parallels between the conflicts of the Great War and those simmering today
#4: An increasing multipolarity world
- There are several great powers competing with each other. So it's not one or two, which are dominating the system, but more than that.
Arms Race - ANSWER - Countries are expanding their spending more and more on their defense
- Realists argue states are fearing each other so they are trying to guarantee their own security by building the military.
4 Powers Changing the Current Order - ANSWER These are four powers that are changing the current order or they may be like leading us to a very dangerous position then dangerous direction.
- Russia
- China
- Japan
- India
Russia - ANSWER - Continuing to invest in military modernization
- Use of covert operations, and economic intimidation to neutralize or co-opt borderland
- Attempts to protect power abroad
- Trying to take more strategic tactics to try to neutralize all of these countries.
- Trying to project our product and we will see these only as examples of Syria.
China - ANSWER - China is relying on very nationalistic feelings in the pride of the people to kind of guide the positions or like trying to navigate the international system (Bellicose nationalism and wounded pride)
- Foreign policy is driven by pure realism
- China's foreign policy is driven by pure realism, which means that every ball security, whether it's a resource, security
- Wants to dominate the Asia region
Japan - ANSWER - Security strategy and military buildup
- Trying to transform the self defense forces
- Protect influence globally
India - ANSWER - Hindu nationalism
- Focus on the nation and are getting more assertive in foreign policy (Similar to China)
Wants to become a regional power (Similar to China)
Regions of Great Power Conflict - ANSWER Euro-Russian frontier
South China Sea
Korean Peninsula
Sea of Japan
Taiwan Strait
Syria's war
Four driving forces that are influencing US national security: - ANSWER #1: Global power distribution: US less influential and dominant
#2: Accelerating pace of and easier access to technology driven by commercial sector
- Germany is more technology driven
#3: Global communications (Internet and social media)
#4: Economic power shift from West to East
The eclipse of the West - ANSWER The doubt cast on America's leadership
The loss of a vision of how the world is supposed to work
The challenge from internal fragmentation
Changes - ANSWER U.S. was seen as a large world power after WWII, but some scholars now feel they are slowly losing influence
China is becoming more powerful
Trump and America's Global Influence - ANSWER America's global influence is slowly eroding
Pull out of Paris Accord
Abandon Trans-Pacific Partnership
Upset America's allies in NATO
Launch trade war with China
Launch trade war with China
Tarnish the image of liberal order and democracy
Threat concerns for the US - ANSWER - Increasing global disorder, instabilities and insecurities
- We are not seeing any increasing stability
- Rise of regional hegemons of "revisionist power" (China, Russia, Iran)
- Rise of "super-empowered" individuals and groups Ex. Bill Gates
- Poses risk for national security
- Increased level of nuclear proliferation (increase in numbers)
Changes in security environment - ANSWER - A shift from interstate conflict to intrastate conflict, transnational terrorism and urbanization
- Growing influence and capacity of non-state actors to compete with states
Ex. Terrorist groups
- Advanced technologies and communications utilized by terrorists
- Rapid urbanization in the absence of industrial development and job opportunities
Examples:
The vigilante movement to defend communities in Cartel Land
The rise and fall of Isalamic State's propaganda machine
MODULE C2 - ANSWER International Organizations and Global Governance
Institution - ANSWER an informal or formal set of rules and procedures that define practices, assign roles, and guide interactions.
Regime - ANSWER A set of rules, norms, institutions and agreements surrounding a given issue and around which the expectations of interested actors converge. (Ex. Climate Change)
International Law - ANSWER The set of rules governing relations among states and consisting of a combination of customs and formal agreements
Treaty - ANSWER an agreement between or among states that holds them responsible for upholding specified principles or meeting specified goals and deadlines
International organization - ANSWER a body set up to promote cooperation between or among states, with either governments or non-governmental actors as members. Special forms: intergovernmental organization (IGO), international non-governmental organizations (INGOs)
Global Governance (Definition) - ANSWER the accumulation of institutions processes agreements procedures norms and actions that can help us adjust the transboundary needs or problems.
More on Global Governance - ANSWER - System for making and enforcing rules so that we can manage shared problems
- Global governance is NOT the same as world government
- How different actors try to manage something on a global level
How is global governance achieved? - ANSWER Global governance, to some extent, is achieved through these kinds of multiple complex networks of different kinds of institutions, different kinds of international organizations like dealing with relations between actors on the global arena.
T/F: Global governance is the same as world government - ANSWER FALSE. Global governance is NOT the same as world government.
Major players in the global arena - ANSWER Other players besides states and great powers:
- International and regional bodies
- Nonstate groups/non-governmental organizations
- Corporations
- People's movements and networks
- Hybrid organizations
Intergovernmental organization (IGO) - ANSWER United Nations (UN)
- Established after WWII for peace among nations
International Criminal Police Organization (INTERPOL)
- Consists of staff members
IGO's have power within states, so states can leave the group whenever
Supranational - ANSWER the European Union (EU)
- Very powerful
- Has sovereignty (power to govern another state)
- Have their own currency
How are IGOs and EU different? - ANSWER EU has sovereignty, the power to govern another state and take things away from states, IGO on the other hand, doesn't have that type of power. States control themselves and leave if they want.
INGO - ANSWER Doctors Without Borders, Oxfam
- Responds to crisis in doctrine which deals with poverty issues
Regional - ANSWER The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), the African Union (AU)
Hybrid (reorganization) - ANSWER - International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN)
Global Governance on Climate Change - ANSWER - Governance on climate change operates on different levels: global, regional, national, subnational.
- Several organizations are helping to deal with the issue of Climate Change
Global - ANSWER - United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
- Intergovernmental panel on Climate Change
Regional - ANSWER EU
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