Literary Studies > EXAM > University of California, Los Angeles EC ENGR MISC flybunctious (All)

University of California, Los Angeles EC ENGR MISC flybunctious

Document Content and Description Below

Q1 Decisions 15 Points You've been job hunting, and you've narrowed your options to two companies: Acme and Google. You already have an offer from Acme, but it expires today, and you are still wai... ting for a response from Google. You are faced with the dilemma of whether or not to accept the offer from Acme, which is modeled by the following decision diagram: Your prior belief about whether Google will hire you and utility over possible outcomes are as follows: Q1.1 5 Points What is the expected utility of each action? (Note: throughout this problem answers will be evaluated to whole-number precision, so your answer should differ by no more than 1 from the exact answer.) Action: accept Acme offer 10/12/2019 View Submission | Gradescope https://www.gradescope.com/courses/49825/assignments/214753/submissions/19160236 2/29 6500 Action: reject Acme offer 2500 Which action should you take? Q1.2 10 Points Suddenly, the phone rings. It's your uncle, who works at Google. Your uncle tells you he has some inside information about the status of your application. Your uncle won't tell you what the information is yet, but he might be willing to divulge it for the right price. You model the new situation by adding a new node to your decision diagram: You create a CPT to model the relationship between the inside information and Google's future hiring decision:  reject  accept 10/12/2019 View Submission | Gradescope https://www.gradescope.com/courses/49825/assignments/214753/submissions/19160236 3/29 We'll help grind through the probabilistic inference. The resulting distributions are: [Show More]

Last updated: 2 years ago

Preview 1 out of 29 pages

Buy Now

Instant download

We Accept: